Geopolitical Risk Updates

Global events are often distorted by the media because of bias or a prevailing narrative. Vestigo Strategy cuts through the bias in the realm of global events and assesses the tangible forces driving major trends.

US: Prospect of sovereign default to cause market instability

While politicians continue to debate raising the country’s debt ceiling to avoid a default from as early as June 1, markets will likely react to the uncertainty with volatility in the coming weeks. The debt ceiling, currently at USD 13.4 trillion, has historically been raised to avoid a default. However, the current political impasse in […]

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Turkey: Election likely to catalyze investment opportunity

A high inflation rate, currently at 51 percent, and a weak currency will likely force a more typical economic policy following Turkey’s general election on May 14. Foreign investors are especially enticed to a potential win by Turkey’s opposition leader, who has pledged to attract USD 300 billion in foreign capital to Turkey in the

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Brazil: Potential risks surrounding proposed fake news legislation

Brazil is set to vote on a “fake news” legislation that would likely increase reputational and financial risks to companies, particularly in the tech sector, regarding content posted online. The bill would establish rigorous requirements for tech companies to deal with misinformation and related content on their platforms. While the bill will likely face several

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